Friday, April 9, 2010

Meet Lynn Switzer

After favorable posts regarding Sandrine Ageorges-Skinner, Rob Owen, and David Protess, I wanted to  write a fair and balanced post regarding Lynn Switzer. Switzer is well-known to readers of this blog as the District Attorney who refuses to release the DNA that could further exonerate Hank Skinner. 

Unfortunately ....

Off Topic: 9 Apr 2010

Writing a post such as Robert Nelson Drew or Now for Another Cosmic Moment takes me a couple hours, what with researching, sourcing, fact checking, spell checking. And that doesn't count the five or six hours required to create the Actual Innocence Scorecard that prompted the Drew post. Mostly though, I write slowly because I struggle to transform thoughts so clear in my head into pixelated text. I'm already ten minutes into this post. Only occasionally, when the muse hits, do I write quickly and to my satisfaction.

Given that I maintain this blog (in theory) only after earning a living elsewhere, trying to publish a series of books, directly assisting someone wrongfully convicted, and having a private life, hours are a precious commodity. I'm not complaining by any means. I've mentioned multiple times that I consider myself  to be among the most fortunate of people. I would simply like more hours in each day, and more days ahead of me, then I won't ask for anything else. For now.

When I go Off Topic, however, I can finish a post in a few minutes, if I don't get too philosophical. That's one reason I post on such topics as kittens riding the Roomba and puggles. (The Skeptical Spouse described the picture as The Black Hole of Cuteness.)

There's another reason, however, for going Off Topic. At the same time life can be ugly, it can be beautiful.  I must not lose sight of that.

I want to help correct a serious problem we have in our society, that of wrongful convictions.  That effort has placed me waiting anxiously in a courthouse to see if they will take the belt and shoelaces from a good and decent (and innocent) man as they march him away from his family, probably forever. It has caused me to stuggle for the right words, as if there are any, when I first speak to someone serving two life sentences for a crime he did not commit. It has caused me to stay up through the night slowly composing a farewell post to someone with less than a day to live, someone who took a substantial portion of his final days to write to me, and to educate me.

I didn't expect this to be so personal, so potentially overwhelming.

So that I can continue, I try not to lose sight of all that is beautiful in this world. That is why I go Off Topic.

With that brief introduction out of the way, I now (finally) present:
A woman suing over defective clown shoes.

A patent for a beer keg hat. (Scroll down once you get there to see the cool picture.)

And finally, wavy beans.  It's merely an illusion. Focus on one bean to make them all stop. Alternatively, lean back from the screen and blur your vision a bit. Do something, or you will go mad.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Actual Innocence Scorecard: What Good Is It?

Previously, I introduced the concept of an Actual Innocence Scorecard and discussed the meaning of an Actual Innocence Score. In this post, I'll give an example of the value of such scoring.

Northwestern University has a web page listing 39 individuals executed though possibly innocent. You can't help but run across that page multiple times if you are researching the subject of wrongful executions. I'll give you the money quote from that page, and I'll include that portion of the list consisting only of those Texas may have wrongfully executed.

Off Topic: 7 Apr 2010

James Lileks is an interesting guy. He writes, frequently of mid-century culture. We have three of his books: The Gallery of Regrettable Food, Mommy Knows Worst, and Interior Desecrations. I still can't look through any of them without suffering some bizarre mixture of horror and laughter.

Take a browse through his tour of a Knudsen recipe book. Start here, then use the "Next" button to page through the book. The food images are  too ghoulish to show here, even as thumbnail. Lileks' narrative is sublime.

Bon appetit!

On Coins, Dice, and Lethal Injections

“They told me there would be no math.” -- Chevy Chase as President Gerald Ford on Saturday Night Live, 1975.

What are the chances that if you could flip a coin 10 times it will not once turn up "tails?" In other words, what's the chance of 10 "heads" in a row? The odds can be calculated as:

1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 = (1/2)^10 = 0.001 = 0.1%

What are the chances you could roll a die ten times in a row and not have it once turn up "1?" In other words, what's the chance of getting somewhere between 2 and 6, ten times in a row? That answer can be calculated as:

5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 = (5/6)^10 = .162 = 16%

Now here we go.  Texas has exonerated 2.4 people from death row for every 100 they have executed. (The other 49 states have exonerated 14 people from death row for every 100 they have executed.) Assuming that for each lethal injection in Texas there is a mere chance of 2 in 100 that the convict is innocent, what's the chance that Texas has not executed an innocent person among its 451 lethal injections?

(98/100)^451 = 0.011 = 0.01%

That's one chance in 10,000. And that assumes that the Texas death machine is 98% accurate.

Not bloody likely.

tsj
7 Apr 2010