Friday, November 25, 2011

Regarding Flying Machines, Feedback Loops, and Criminal Justice: Redux

From 22 April 2010:

I've been away for a bit, both physically and mentally. I'm running behind on my posts. It seems I owe the second part of my essay on feedback loops.

If you missed the first part, you can read it here. It will reinforce the point I hope to make, but it's not critical.

In a previous career, I designed commercial transport aircraft for a major aircraft manufacturer. It would be far more accurate to say I helped design airplanes. No one person designs large aircraft. The jumbo jets are some of the most technologically advanced and complex pieces of machinery around today. Despite their complexity, the fact that they travel near the speed of sound, in a near vacuum, at -65 degrees Fahrenheit, and despite the fact they carry around a quarter million pounds of fuel, commerical aircraft are one of our safest forms of transportation. You are far safer flying from Los Angeles to New York than you are driving from Azusa to LAX. 

The safety doesn't result from mottos or mission statements, from pledges or codes of conduct. The safety results from a cadre of engineers who know nature will smite them should they fail to follow the rules. It comes from legions of regulators and auditors, customers and lawyers who will descend upon them should one of their elegant designs fall from the sky. The world of commercial aviation is a world of feedback loops. Planes are safe because those who err are fed back upon, with prejudice.

The world of criminal prosecution is largely absent feedback loops. Judges and prosecutors are, for the most part, legally immune any consequence resulting from their misdeeds, whether careless or willful. The populace returns them to office based on inflated conviction ratios rather than upon any measure of accuracy. The appellate system provides thinly veiled cover for all but the most egregious acts of misconduct. The bottom line is our judicial system deals grisly justice because it is unrestrained by any meaningful, negative feedback.

Consider the case of Charles Dean Hood. I started an Innocence Scorecard for the man, and though I haven't yet completed it, I figure he is good for the two murders for which he was convicted. The US Supreme Court recently declined to hear his case, so Texas can now proceed with his execution. Hood had argued that he had not been given a fair trial becaused the female judge and the male prosecutor had  been doing the judicial hokey pokey. She had ruled favorably on his motions. She sustained him repeatedly.

The point wasn't that Hood was incorrect in his accusations. Not at all. The judge and prosecutor both admitted to their affair. They claimed, however, that it was all over between them at the time of the trial. They didn't mention it to anyone, say the defense team, because the two star-crossed lovers would never let something like their runaway hormones get in the way of their jurisprudence.

The US Supreme Court sided with the judge and the prosecutor. Those two are, after all, servants of the State. The defendant, on the other hand, is a murderer. Off to the gallows with him.

Neither the judge, the prosecutor, nor the State of Texas were fed back upon. There simply is no effective feedback loop in our criminal justice system. Don't believe me? Give it a try. Withhold exculpatory evidence from the defense. The court will rule that you didn't, and that even if you did it would be a harmless error. Bribe a witness with time off, or threaten a witness with time in. Either will get a pass. Pay a discredited DA $86,000 to mount a pathetic defense in a murder case, and the appellate court will look the other way. 

Our judicial system will continue to strap innocent people to gurneys as long as the State exempts itself from any consequences for its bad behavior. Our judicial system is a plane wreck, and nobody plans to investigate. The people on board probably deserved what they got.

tsj
22 Apr 2010

Thursday, November 24, 2011

We're Number One! Unfortunately! Redux!

Originally from 23 May 2010:

I'm unabashed in the love and pride I feel for this country. By this country, I of course mean the good ol' USA. Besides the circumstance of my birth, one feature that warms my heart to this little slice of Earth is its willingness to listen to me. Or at least its willingness to allow me to speak. At least for now.

That's important, because sometimes you have to find a way to tell the one you love that she it is making a big mistake. So here it goes. Wish me luck.

I think we imprison far too many of our fellow countrymen. I think we have too many laws, and we criminalize too many people. And I hate to say this, but we convict way too many people who are actually innocent. We even execute some of them. I know you don't like to hear it, but we need to talk.

I want to talk about the number of people we wrongfully convict. I don't just mean talk about individual cases, here and there. I already do that. What I'm saying here is that I want to talk about the magnitude of the problem. I want to try to quantify it. If our wrongful conviction rate is a mere 0.027%, as Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia claimed in Kansas v. Marsh, then I'm out of line.

If, on the other hand, our wrongful conviction rate is closer to 10%, which I fear, then we must talk. We absolutely must talk.

Over the next few months, I will be posting a sequence of articles dealing with various ways of estimating our rate of wrongful conviction. In each case, I will multiply that rate times the number of people we have incarcerated to arrive at the number of people who may be now serving time for a crime they did not commit. A starting point then, is to get a sense of how many people we have in prison.

I turned as usual to the source of all knowledge: the internet. Not only that, I took the easy way out for this tenuous first step: I checked with Wikipedia. The numbers and quotes immediately below came from the Wikipedia article. Their numbers came, in turn, from the U.S. Bureau of Justice.
American prisons and jails held 2,304,115 inmates in 2008. Approximately one in every 18 men in the United States is behind bars or being monitored.

70% of prisoners in the United States are non-whites.
In recent decades the U.S. has experienced a surge in its prison population, quadrupling since 1980, partially as a result of mandated sentences that came about during the "war on drugs." Violent crime and property crime have declined since the early 1990s. 
Nearly one million of those incarcerated in state and federal prisons, as well as local jails, are serving time for comitting non-violent crimes.
About 10.4% of all black males in the United States between the ages of 25 and 29 were sentenced and in prison, compared to 2.4% of Hispanic males and 1.3% of white males.
The United States has the highest documented incarceration rate in the world at 754 persons in prison or jail per 100,000 (as of 2008).
That last one hurts. (They all hurt, actually.) You can compare our rate of 754 convicts per 100,000 countrymen against the rate for other countries here. I'll save you the trouble. At 152, England has a rate just one fifth of ours. Australia, which served as a penal colony for England, has a rate of 129. Romania, formerly behind the Iron Curtain, has a rate of 125. France comes in at 96, Belgium at 93, Germany at 88, Denmark at 63.

Maybe it's unfair to point out our incarceration rate is five to ten times that of other "westernized" countries. Maybe we'll do better if we compare ourselves to Africa. Let's see.

Okay, we're not a whole lot worse than Rwanda. They have a rate 593, so we're only 33% worse than Rwanda. But South Africa, not known as a model of restraint when arresting its citizenry, has a rate well less than half of ours. Zimbabwe comes in at 136, Ethiopia at 98, Ghana at 59, Nigeria at 26.

I guess that didn't work out. Maybe the Middle East will provide a more favorable comparison, what with all the turmoil there and Sharia law and everything. Surely they must be doing worse. Hang on, I'll check it out.

Let's see. Israel has a rate of 326, but they're kind of a "westernized" country, so we can ignore them. (We already know we don't fare well against "westernized" countries.) I'll keep scrolling down the list. Here we go. Iran comes in at 222, Libya at 209, Saudi Arabia at 178, Kuwait 130, Iraq 93, Yemen 83, Pakistan 55, Afghanistan, 44. Crap!

There's stil hope. Surely we can't be worse than the communist states. I'll check.

Crap!

Russia is 626, Cuba is 531. China is 119.

Okay, that does it. Time to turn to Uncle Cecil to get The Straight Dope on this issue. Just as I suspected, the numbers for China are, well, suspect. Uncle Cecil tells it like it is.
China, though . . . well, 1.5 million prisoners is just the official figure. Chinese human rights activist Harry Wu, who spent 19 years in forced-labor camps for criticizing the government, estimates that 16 to 20 million of his countrymen are incarcerated, including common criminals, political prisoners, and people in involuntary job placements. Even ten million prisoners would make for a rate of 793 per 100,000. 
Another nation suspected to have a lot of prisoners is North Korea. The country isn't listed in ICPS statistics, but a recent NBC News investigation put the number of political prisoners alone at 200,000, or more than 900 per 100,000. 
Great, you're thinking. The only countries that might put away more of their own people than we do are both notorious authoritarian states.
So there's a chance we're not number one. There's a chance we're not as bad as North Korea.

America, we need to talk.

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Pickings from the Devil's Dictionary: The Letter C

Courtesy of Ambrose Bierce

CALAMITY, n. A more than commonly plain and unmistakable reminder that the affairs of this life are not of our own ordering. Calamities are of two kinds: misfortune to ourselves, and good fortune to others.

CANNON, n. An instrument employed in the rectification of national boundaries.

CAT, n. A soft, indestructible automaton provided by nature to be kicked when things go wrong in the domestic circle.

CHILDHOOD, n. The period of human life intermediate between the idiocy of infancy and the folly of youth—two removes from the sin of manhood and three from the remorse of age.

CHRISTIAN, n. One who believes that the New Testament is a divinely inspired book admirably suited to the spiritual needs of his neighbor. One who follows the teachings of Christ in so far as they are not inconsistent with a life of sin.

CIRCUS, n. A place where horses, ponies and elephants are permitted to see men, women and children acting the fool.

CLAIRVOYANT, n. A person, commonly a woman, who has the power of seeing that which is invisible to her patron, namely, that he is a blockhead.

CLARIONET, n. An instrument of torture operated by a person with cotton in his ears. There are two instruments that are worse than a clarionet—two clarionets.

COMFORT, n. A state of mind produced by contemplation of a neighbor's uneasiness.

COMMENDATION, n. The tribute that we pay to achievements that resembles, but do not equal, our own.

COMPULSION, n. The eloquence of power.

CONDOLE, v.i. To show that bereavement is a smaller evil than sympathy.

CONFIDANT, CONFIDANTE, n. One entrusted by A with the secrets of B, confided by him to C.

CONGRATULATION, n. The civility of envy.

CONSERVATIVE, n. A statesman who is enamored of existing evils, as distinguished from the Liberal, who wishes to replace them with others.

CONSOLATION, n. The knowledge that a better man is more unfortunate than yourself.

CONSULT, v.i. To seek another's disapproval of a course already decided on.

CONTEMPT, n. The feeling of a prudent man for an enemy who is too formidable safely to be opposed.

CONVERSATION, n. A fair to the display of the minor mental commodities, each exhibitor being too intent upon the arrangement of his own wares to observe those of his neighbor.

CORPORATION, n. An ingenious device for obtaining individual profit without individual responsibility.

COWARD, n. One who in a perilous emergency thinks with his legs.

CRITIC, n. A person who boasts himself hard to please because nobody tries to please him.

CURIOSITY, n. An objectionable quality of the female mind. The desire to know whether or not a woman is cursed with curiosity is one of the most active and insatiable passions of the masculine soul.

CYNIC, n. A blackguard whose faulty vision sees things as they are, not as they ought to be. Hence the custom among the Scythians of plucking out a cynic's eyes to improve his vision.

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

The Truly Shocking Case of Davis Losada: Redux

I have for several weeks been heavily involved in other projects to the expense of this blog. I expect it will be another two weeks before I can once again spend the time necessary to post frequently. I've decided learn from television and present reruns, now frequently referred to as encore presentations.

Immediately below, I present an encore presentation of The Truly Shocking Case of Davis Losada, initally presented  July 23, 2010.

*********

I’ve worked on this case off and on all through this week. I’ve spent fifteen hours or more researching, evaluating, scoring, and writing of it. It has taken more time than I can justify, given that it is just one case out of sixty or so that I must detail, and given all that I ignored to complete it. Davis Losada is dead, the case was confusing, and I believed him to be guilty.

Throughout my early research, I suspected Losada would end up with a low score. I found the case just one more distressing example of the evil that one human can do to another. I had to force myself to work on it. I decided I would use it as another example to prove I would be harsh in my scoring when the evidence so demanded, such as I was with Lionel Herrera and, to a lesser extent, Ruben Cantu.

A couple of nights ago, as I laid awake thinking of the case, some of the star witness testimony suddenly struck me as particularly odd. The case suddenly changed to one in which I thought the person was probably guilty, but one in which I would have had to vote Not Guilty because of suspicions I had about the State’s case. I decided then I would write of the difficulty of being a juror faced with such a decision.

This morning, as I was trying to pull everything together and prepare a scorecard, I searched the web one last time to see if I could find that one article, that one clip, that one paragraph that would cause the story to make sense. To my amazement, I found it. If you persist to the end of this post, you will see that I score Davis Losada as likely innocent, but certainly dead.

<<>>

San Benito is near the southern tip of Texas, just about as far south you can get in the U.S. unless you go to Hawaii or Key West. There in the brush, on the outskirts of the small city, on the day before Christmas in 1984, they found the naked and battered body of 15-year-old Olga Lydia Perales. She had been bludgeoned 10 to 20 times about the head and shoulders. She had been stabbed twice in the chest, postmortem.

Rafael Leyva was sixteen years old at the time. Two weeks later, on January 8, Leyva told his probation officer that he knew who killed Olga Lydia Perales. He had been there. He had done nothing wrong himself, but the other three had raped and murdered Perales. By the time of Losada’s trial, he would admit he was involved.

According to his testimony, on the night of the murder, he had been riding around with three others: Davis Losada, Jesse Romero, and Jose Cardenas. They heard about a party going on over at the home of Ray Amaya. By the time they arrived, everyone was gone except Amaya and Perales. Amaya told them that Perales was in the shed and that they had been having sex. The four in the car offered to give her a ride home. Amaya called her from the shed. She spoke to Amaya and then got in Cardenas’ car.

Leyva was sitting in the back seat along with Losada. Cardenas was driving. Romero was sitting in the middle of the front seat. Perales was sitting the front seat, next to the passenger-side window. Before they could drive away, Romero pushed Perales head down between her knees. He held a knife to her neck and told her not to make any noise.

Cardenas drove out into the country and stopped the car. Levya, Cardenas, and Romero got out of the car. Losada remained in the back seat and ordered Perales to climb in the back seat. Her clothing was removed and, although she pleaded with them to let her go, she was raped repeatedly. Initially she was raped by Losada. Then she was forced to commit oral sodomy on him while Romero and then Leyva had anal intercourse with her. Although Cardenas did not have intercourse with her, he did insert an object into her while she was performing oral sodomy on Losada. When everyone else was finished, Losada raped her two more times, once in the back seat of the car, once on the top of the trunk lid.

After raping her, they decided they had to do something to keep her from going to the police. Cardenas pulled a pipe out of the car and handed it to Levya. Everyone told him to hit her. He didn’t want to so he asked her to promise she wouldn’t tell anyone. She said she wouldn’t. He tried to convince the other three she wouldn’t tell, but they insisted he hit her. Suddenly, his mind went blank; he took the pipe and hit her on the right side of the head. Romero then grabbed the pipe and began striking her. When blood began squirting out of her head, Leyva turned away.  He could still hear the others beating her with the pipe.

After the beating stopped, Losada stabbed her once in the chest. Levya and Romero dragged her body into the brush and Levya stabbed her one more time in the chest. They got back in Cardenas' car and left. During the trip back to San Benito, they threw the knives out of the car window and stopped on a bridge and threw the victim's clothing into a creek.

On cross-examination, Losada’s attorney, Jose Luis Peña, asked only three questions of the State’s star witness.

Q: Mr. Leyva, I was reading your statement here and it says here that at the time of the rape you stated that you did not know who the girl was at that time; is that correct?

A: Sir, I didn’t hear you.

Q: Mr. Leyva, I was reading one of the paragraphs in your confession, your statement, and it says here somebody was raping the girl and that you, at this time, you didn’t know who the girl was; is that correct?

A: Yes, Sir.

Q: You didn’t know who she was?

A: No, Sir.

Though Losada didn’t testify, the defense tried to make a case that Losada was indeed at the scene, but had only consensual sex with the victim, and did not harm her in anyway.

Davis Losada didn’t stand a chance. He was convicted and sentenced to death exclusively on the testimony of Rafael Leyva. Then Jose Cardenas was tried, convicted, and sentenced to life in prison based exclusively on the testimony of Rafael Leyva. Then Jesse Romero was tried, convicted, and sentenced to death based exclusively on the testimony of Rafael Leyva. Leyva was sentenced to twenty years, and is a free man today.

<<>>

I passed Davis Losada through my coarse filter based solely on a Northwestern University Center on Wrongful Conviction list of possibly innocent people who were executed. Northwestern didn’t explain why they felt Losada might be innocent, but since they are among the most trustworthy institutions in the wrongful conviction movement I decided to investigate his case.

I couldn’t, however, find anybody who was arguing that Davis Losada was wrongfully executed. That is unique so far in my search for the 54 innocent people I calculated Texas must have executed. Usually, the internet is awash with claims of actual innocence for those who had passed through my coarse filter. The typical problem has been to find a reasoned article or paper on why the person was in fact guilty. Usually for that I rely on Google Scholar to find appellate decisions. The appellate courts, when justifying their refusal to grant a new trail, frequently provide the best case summaries for the State’s case.

For this case, the only substantive resources I could find were the appellate decisions for each of the three people who were convicted based on the testimony of Rafael Leyva. After reviewing those five appellate rulings, there was little reason to believe that Losada wasn’t factually guilty.

I did find one interesting problem that seemed to me to be the basis for Northwestern’s inclusion of Losada on their list of people possibly innocent but certainly executed. It turns out that Jose Luis Peña had been assigned by the State to represent Leyva, and had done so for a short time, before he was re-assigned by the State to represent Losada. Since Peña was bound by attorney-client privilege not to reveal anything he had learned during his one interview with Leyva, the re-assignment created a clear conflict of interest and should have never been permitted.

In an affidavit submitted as part of Losada’s appeal, Peña conceded that he had indeed been inhibited in his questioning of Leyva because he did indeed have insight from his interview with Leyva. He could not ask any questions knowing the answer from his interview with Leyva. Peña was not specific about his insight, since that too would violate the attorney-client privilege. The appellate court was unimpressed, argued the conflict was insignificant given the overwhelming evidence of Losada’s guilt, and declined to grant a new trial.

<<>>

I mulled the case for several days. Leyva’s testimony began to nag at me. It changed over time, always to the benefit of the State that would later decide Leyva’s fate. The first nag was tiny. “Before we drove off, Romero pushed Perales’ head between her knees, held a knife to her throat, and told her to be quiet.”  [Not an exact quote.] That seemed odd. That would cause it to appear as if Romero and Cardenas were choosing to sit uncomfortably close to one another in the front seat. I didn’t think two young macho Latino males would drive around like that. Why not have Perales’ sit between them?

Then it hit me that Ray Amaya, the party giver and the one who had brought Perales to the car, never mentioned anything about Romero forcing Perales’ knees between her head. Why would they do such a thing just before they drove off anyway? Why not wait until they weren’t being observed?

I remembered also a twist that Leyva had added at the last of the three trials, the one for Jesse Romeo. He testified then that as Perales approached the car, Romero “pushed” her in, then forced her to place her head between her knees. If Romero pushed her in, how did he end up sitting between her and the driver? It didn’t make sense. It did however help the State convince the jury that Perales did not consent to any sex with any of the four.

Then one more thing. I thought it odd that Leyva claimed Cardenas did not participate in the rape, but instead inserted an unidentified object into her. I recalled reading in a Cardenas appeal that blood was found on a pair of Romero’s shorts they found in his house. The blood was Type A or Type AB. Cardenas was type A, as was Romero. The other three defendants were Type O, and Cardenas was a Type O secretor. That means his blood type can be determined from his other bodily fluids, such as semen. It occurred to me that they must have found no Type O secretor semen during the autopsy, needed an alternative means of convicting Cardenas of raping the victim, and had Leyva testify about the mysterious object.

These three tidbits of suspicion came from three different trials. Had I been a juror on Losada's trial and had all three tidbits, I would have suspected Leyva was tailoring his testimony to please the state, would have lost trust in his testimony, and would not have voted guilty. I would have still suspected that Losada had been involved in the rape and murder, and I would have been utterly pissed that the State had put me in such a moral dilemma. They would have been asking me to violate my oath to bail them out of a mess they made. I hope I would have had the wisdom and courage to make the correct decision.

<<>>

This morning I found the one news article I was looking for. It was published just before Losada was executed. Peña had apparently become so concerned about seeing Losada die, he signed another affidavit regarding his conflict of interest. In this affidavit, he violated his attorney-client privilege with Leyva and told the appellate court what he had learned in his one interview with Leyva. It was a serious violation of his legal ethics and professional conduct, but Peña apparently decided he could no longer withhold the information.

According to Peña, Leyva told him that Perales was engaging in consensual sex with the others. Because he had been drinking and using drugs, he had been unable to attain an erection. She mocked him, that enraged him, and he killed her, to the shock and amazement of the other three.

The appellate court was still unimpressed and refused to grant a stay and Losada was killed by the State of Texas.

Peña’s affidavit is believable based on his behavior during Losada’s trial, based on his non-questioning of the State’s star witness, and on his argument to the jury that Losada had consensual sex with the defendant and did not harm her. His affidavit is believable as well because he exposed himself to disbarment for violating attorney-client privilege. I believe Peña was telling the truth.

If Leyva was telling the truth to Peña during the interview, and I see no reason he would lie when he claimed he couldn’t perform sexually and that he alone killed the victim, then grave injustice has occurred and is occurring. Leyva is walking free. Losada and Romero are in the ground, and Cardenas is spending his life behind bars.

Finally, I offer my Actual Innocence Scorecard for Davis Losada. I score him at 75, meaning I think it is three times more likely he was innocent than he was guilty.

And I’m truly shocked at how this all turned out.

Friday, November 18, 2011

Eddie Lee Howard: My Quick Assessment

Recently as part of my effort to complete America's Executioner, I reviewed more than three hundred cases of people sitting on Texas death row. Previously, I had reviewed more than four hundred cases of people already executed by Texas. In each case, I was hunting for people who are (or were) probably or possibly innocent.

I approach the problem by first passing all cases through a coarse filter. I try to limit myself to fifteen minutes  of research for each case. (Admittedly, I frequently find myself following link after link and losing track of my self-imposed time limit.) I keep a list of those cases that seem to justify further research. By applying this coarse filter technique, I can eliminate about 90% of the cases as having no reasonable possibility of factual innocence.

Note that I'm not searching for procedural flaws or technical reasons why someone shouldn't have been convicted. I'm searching for cases in which the convicted person had nothing to do with the crime.

After the coarse filter, I pass the remaining cases through a slightly finer filter. I allow myself an additional hour or two for each of the remaining cases to decide which of them are deserving of far more detailed research and evaluation.

With respect to those people currently on Texas death row, I found 24 cases that definitely deserve more detailed research.

In my previous post, Eddie Lee Howard: A Case for Your Evaluation, I provided you an opportunity to see that some cases are easily recognizable as a possible instance of wrongful conviction. You, at least those of you who commented on the post, had no difficulty finding problems with Howard's conviction, even though you seemed to limit yourself to 15 minutes as I suggested. You properly noted that the conviction relied heavily on bite mark testimony, that the bite mark testimony in Howard's case was troublesome, and that the bite mark expert had a history of questionable cases.

When I'm deciding whether or not to allow a case through my coarse filter, I'm on the lookout for warning flags. If I were to make a list of warning flags in the Howard case identified in the comments, that list would so consist of:
  • Bite marks
  • Dr. Michael West
In fact, if you were to go to Google Scholar and search for either or both of those terms, you would have no trouble finding many more troubling convictions.

Given that I've been employing this coarse filter technique longer than most of you, I noted more warning flags, even if I limited myself to just the appellate decision. Here are the flags I noticed in that decision.
  • Bite marks
  • Dr. Michael West
  • Dr. Steven Hayne
  • Alleged rape but no semen
  • A dissenting opinion
If you were to search Google Scholar for Steven Hayne, you would find many more troubling cases than  if you searched for Michael West. Also, there was a dissenting opinion in Howard's appellate decision that did a nice job of describing the problems associated with Dr. West's bite mark testimony.

One of the projects I am working on from time to time, when I have a moment, is to compile a list of warning flags such as I have discussed in this chapter. I won't reveal my list at this time, but I'll chum the waters with a few more:
  • Snitch testimony
  • Accomplice testimony
  • Recanted testimony
  • Hair and fibers "consistent with" the State's theory
I'd be interested in hearing from you about the types of evidence or the circumstances of a case that would cause you to suspect a wrongful conviction. Comments are open.